RSI chinoratidzi - sei ungashandisa? Mirairo, mazano

Nhamba yezvinyorwa zvine simba iri pakati pezvinonyanya kuzivikanwa zvinoshandiswa nevatengesi. Inopa ruzivo pamusoro pesimba rekutengesa mutengo pamataiti, naizvozvo zita racho. Saka chii chiri chiratidzo cheRSI? Nzira yekuishandisa sei mukutengeserana? Unonzwisisa sei zvaanoratidza?

RSI chiratidzo: tsanangudzo

Yakasikwa naJ. Wells Wilder, iyo Relative Strength Index (RSI) ndiyo nguva yekushambadzira iyo inotarisa chiyero uye kuchinja kwekutama kwemitengo. Nenzira, maererano naWilder, RSI inoratidza kuti inotengesa mumusika kana kukosha kwayo kudarika 70, uye inopfuura kupfuura kana iri pasi pemakumi matatu. RSI zviratidzo zviratidzo zvinogona kunyevera pamusoro pekuchinja kunoshanduka, kukanganisa kwepakati, uye kusarudza simba remamiriro acho.

Wilder akanyora pamusoro peizvi zvose mubhuku rake ra1988 "Mazano matsva mumagetsi ekutengeserana maitiro." Pamwe pamwe neSAR yechiratidzo, inoyerera, index yepan uye CSI index, akarondedzera mufananidzo weRSI - nzira yekushandisa uye kuti ungaiverenga sei. Kunyanya, munyori akafunga zvinhu zvinotevera:

• Yakakwirira uye yakasviba;
• Mifananidzo yekuongorora;
• A yakakundikana kuputika;
• Kutsigira nekudzivisa;
• Divergence.

Pasinei nechokwadi chokuti zviratidzo zveWilder zvichange zvichishandura makumi mana, dzakamira muedzo wenguva uye dzinoramba dzakakurumbira kusvika ikozvino.

Kuverenga

Chiratidzo chacho chinotaridzwa nemurairo: RSI = 100 - 100 / (1 + RS), uko RS = kuwedzera kwekukura / kuparara kwepamusoro.

Kuti kuve nyore kuverenga, nhamba yacho inoputsika muzvikamu zvikuru: RS, kuwedzera kwekuwira uye kuwira muzinga. Mubhuku rake, Wilder akarayira kuverenga rondedzero yakavakirwa panguva gumi nemana. Kuwa kunoratidzirwa seyakanaka, kwete nhamba dzisina kunaka.

Chokutanga, kupesana kwekukura uye muvhareji kuwira kudarika nguva 14 inotarwa.

• Avhareji kukura = chiyero chekukura kwemashure gumi nemana ekupedzisira / 14;
• Avhareji drop = chiyero chekuwira pamusoro pemakore 14 ekupedzisira / 14.

Zvadaro zviyero zvakabva pane zviyero zvekare uye zvinoitika kana kuwedzera:

• Avhareji urefu = yapfuura kureba kwehurefu x 13 + kukura kwezvino / 14;
• Avhareji drop = yapfuura yevhesi yeusiyo x 13 + ikozvino kudonha / 14.

Iyi nzira yekuverenga ndiyo nzira inorwisa anti-aliasing yakafanana nemushambadziro wekufambisa. Izvi zvinoreva zvakare kuti nhamba yehuwandu inove yakarurama zvakakwana sezvo nguva yekugadzirisa inowedzera.

Wilder's formula inogadzirisa RS uye inoitenderera kuva oscillator iyo inopesana pakati pe zero ne100. Zvechokwadi, RS grafu inoratidzika zvakafanana neRSI grafu. Nhanho yekusimudza inowedzera kuwanikwa kwekunyanyisa, sezvo rondedzero iri mumutambo wakamanikana. Nhamba ye simba rakakwana ndeye 0, kana kuwedzera kwekuwedzera kuri zero. Ne 14-nguva RSI, kukosha kwezero kunoratidza kuti chiyero chakaramba kwema 14 nguva. Kukura kwakanga kusipo. Nhamba yacho ndeye100, kana muvhareji wepreciation is zero. Izvi zvinoreva kuti chiyero chave chichikura kwemakore gumi nemaviri. Pakanga pasina kuwa.

Kubva pachirongwa chesimba rinoratidza simba, stochastic oscillator Stochastic RSI inoverengwa:

• StochRSI = (RSI ndiyo inoshandiswa RSI) / (yakanyanya RSI ndiyo inoshandiswa RSI).

Iko oscillator inobatanidza urongwa hweRSI nehuwandu hwayo uye huwandu hunokosha pane imwe nguva. Mu stochastic oscillator formula, RSI maitiro anotsiviwa nematambudziko. Nokudaro, Stochastic RSI inoratidza chiratidzo - yechipiri chekushandurwa kwenhanho. Zvinonyanya kuwedzera huwandu hwemashoko, naizvozvo nepamunofanirwa kutarisa zvimwe zviridzwa zvekugadzira.

RSI chiratidzo: ungashandisa sei?

Nhamba yakatarwa yenguva yechiratidzo chechimiro chakasimba ndeye 14, izvo zvinoreva kuti inofungidzira makese ekupedzisira 14, kana nguva dzenguva.

Chiratidzo chacho chinofananidza kuwirirana kunowanikwa kune chiyero chekurasikirwa uye kunotsanangura kuti mangani emakenduru ekupedzisira gumi nematanhatu aiva nzombe kana kuti mabheji, uyewo anoongorora hukuru hwekenduru imwe neimwe.

Semuenzaniso, kana mapeji ematengo ose ari chekutsvaga, ipapo nhamba yacho ndeye zana, uye kana makese gumi nemasere akadaro, ipapo 0 (kana anenge zana ne1). Uye iyo nhamba, yakaenzana ne50, inoreva kuti makenduru makumi manomwe apfuura aiva akashaya, 7 akanga achishamwaridzana, uye avhareji yekubatsira uye kurasikirwa akanga akaenzana.

Muenzaniso 1. Mifananidzo iri pasi apa inoratidza EUR / USD chati. Chikamu chitsvene chinosanganisira mapepa gumi nemana ekupedzisira. Pakati peizvi, 13 vakange vari kushamwaridzana uye chete 1 yaiva yebhusaundi, zvichiita kuti kuve nenhamba ye 85.

Muenzaniso 2. Mifananidzo iri pasi apa inoratidzira EUR / USD chati uye nhatu dzakasarudzwa nzvimbo dzemakenduru makumi maviri neshanu kuti mumwe nomumwe anzwisise kuti ingano yakasimba yenhamba yakaverengwa sei.

• Nzvimbo yekutanga inotarisa nguva yakawanda ye-9 yekare inobereka makenduru, 4 madhongi maduku emakanda uye 1 marambi pattern (doji). RSI yenguva iyi ndeyegumi nemashanu, iyo inoratidza chikwata chakasimba kwazvo chechibatanidzwa.
• Chikamu chechipiri chinosanganisira mapepa gumi nemashanu uye mazana mashanu emakese mabhete. Chiratidzo chenguva iyi chaiva makumi manomwe, ichiratidza chikwata chakasimba chekutsvaga.
• Nzvimbo yechitatu inosanganisira mabhii 6 emombe, 8 bearish uye 1 doji, iyo inotungamirira kuhuwandu hwerondedzero 34, zvichiratidza kuderedzwa kwakadzika.

Sezvaunogona kuona, kuongororwa kwemakese gumi nematanhatu kwakanyatsoenderana nekukosha kweRSI panguva ino. Kunyange zvakadaro, chiratidzo chacho chinobatsira pakuti chinoderedza nguva inodikanwa yekugadzirisa deta uye inodzivirirawo zvikanganiso panguva yakashata yekusika mararamiro.

Overbought uye overbought

Pfungwa inokosha ndeyokuti kana simba rakati rine simba rinoratidzika zvikuru kana kuti rakaderera zvikuru (hunopfuura 70 kana pasi pe30), mutengo unoratidza kudarika kana kutengesa zvinhu. Nhamba yepamusoro inoreva kuti nhamba yemakenduru akashandurwa yakakunda pamusoro pehuwandu hwevanotsvaga. Uye sezvo chikoro chacho chisingakwanisi kutora matanda chete ekutsvaga, hazvibviri kuvimba nemuchina weRSI kuti aone kuchinja kwekuchinja.

Kana 13 yekupedzisira makese gumi nemasere yakange ichitsvaga, uye nhamba yacho iri pamusoro pe70, zvino zvingangodaro kuti nzombe dzichadzoka munguva yemberi iri pedo, asi kuvimba zvakakwana pamusoro pechiporofita chavo cheRSI chiratidzo hachikoshi. Mifananidzo iri pasi apa inoratidza maawa maviri apo yakapinda munzvimbo inowedzera (pasi pe30) uye yakaramba yakadaro kwenguva refu. Munguva yekutanga, chirwere chacho chakaenderera mberi chichiwira kwemazuva makumi matanhatu pamberi pekanyorwa yakadzoka kupfuura makumi matatu, uye panguva yechipiri nguva iyo yakaramba ichiwira kwemazuva masere, apo mutengesi wakadzorerwa zvakare.

Nguva yekuverengera yemhando yekusimudzira simba ine 14 inotadza, asi inogona kuderedzwa kuwedzera kunzwisiswa kwechiratidzo, kana kuwedzerwa kuideredza. Zuva regumi reRSI richasvika kumazinga akawandisa kana kuti anodarika zvakapfuura kupfuura RS-20 zuva.

Misika yacho inonzi inopindurwa apo kukosha kweRSI kunopfuura 70, uye kunowedzera apo pasi pemakumi matatu. Aya maitiro ezvemadzitateguru anogonawo kugadziriswa kuti ave nani pakuwana kuchengeteka kana zvinoda. Kugadzirisa chirongwa cheRSI kuburikidza nekuwedzera kudarika kusvika kune makumi masere kana kuti kuderedza kudarika kwe20 kunoderedza kuwanda kwezviratidzo. Vatengesi venguva pfupi dzimwe nguva vanoshandisa 2-nguva RSI, iyo inokubvumira kutarisa kupfuura yepamusoro makumi 80 uye inowedzera pasi 20.

Chiratidzo chechiremera chakasimba hachigoni kushandiswa chete kuti chigone kutsvaga zvingangodaro. Anotaurawo maitiro akaoma zvikuru apo anoramba ari munzvimbo yakanyanyisa kana kuti yakareba kwenguva yakareba.

Kuputsika kwebatsigiro uye kukonzera mutsara

Sezvatotaurwa, huwandu hunoshandisa simba hunokubvumira kuti uone kusimba kwekushandura kwemaitiro. Izvi zvinoshandura kuva chigadzirwa chakanakisisa pazvinenge zvichitengeserana pamazinga ekutsigira uye kudzivirira kwedzidzo. Nhamba yacho inoratidza EUR / USD chati, uye mutsara wekutsvaira wakaita nhamba yakazivikanwa zvikuru yakaenzana nechiyero che-1.20, iyo ndiyo nheyo yekutsigirwa nekudzivirira.

Iwe unogona kuona kuti mutengo wakadzoka kakawanda kusvika kumazinga 1.2. Kwenguva yokutanga, RSI yakaratidza mutengo we 63 ne 57. Izvi zvaireva kuti, kunyange zvazvo chiitiko chakanga chiri kumusoro, simba rayo rakanga risina kukwana. Nhare yakasimba yokumanikidzana yakaoma kuputsa - simba rakasimba rinodiwa kuti rikunde naro.

Yechipiri nguva iyo yakadzokera kumusangano wekumanikidzika, iRSI yaiva 71, iyo inoratidza chiito chekutsvaga chakasimba, asi chikwata chinoramba chakamira zvakare. Kusvikira chikamu chekupedzisira, apo RSI yakaratidza kukosha kwe 76, kupikisa kwakakundwa uye RSI yakasimuka kusvika 85.

Chiratidzo chacho chinogona kushanda sechishandiso chekuenzanisa simba redzidzo. Vatengesi vanoshandisa maitiro ekutengeserana vanodikanwa zvakanyanya kudiwa kwemashoko akadaro, uye chiratidzo chesimba chakakwana chinouya panguva yakakodzera.

RSI divergence

Imwe nzvimbo iyo chiratidzo cheRSI chinoshandiswa isarudzo yekutsvaga kutsvaga nekutsvaga kusiyana. Zviratidzo zvekusawirirana kwekuti sangano rinopa rinowanzosabatsirwe nemutengo wekutengesa kwemaitiro. Izvi zvinotsigirwa nezvinotevera.

Mifananidzo iri pasi apa inoratidza maviri minima. Pakati pechiratidzo chekutanga chakanga chakaenzana nemakumi maviri nemakumi matatu nemana, uye chikamu chekufamba, kutarisira chirevo ichi, chakabatanidza 8 kutakura makenduru, 3 nzombe, 3 doji, muyero wakawa nehuwandu hwe1,45%. Munguva yechipiri yakadzika, RSI yakaratidza huwandu hwepamusoro hwe 28, uye sangano rakabatanidza 7 rine makerese, 5 nzombe, 2 doji uye yakarasika chete 0.96%.

Kunyange zvazvo mukana wacho wakasvika pane zvitsva, zvakaderera zvishoma, nheyo dzemaitiro dzakanga dzisinganyanyi zvakadaro, uye nzvimbo yechipiri yakanga isiri yakasimba. Uye girafu rinotsigira izvi. Muduku wechipiri waiva nechirwere chepamusoro (28 uye 26), kunyange zvazvo chiyero chakaratidza kuti mabhesi ari kurasikirwa nesimba. Kudengenyeka kazhinji kunoputsika, kuwirirana kaviri kunowedzera kuvimbika.

Positively negative reversals

Andrew Cardwell akatanga urongwa hwezvakanaka-zvisina kuchinja kwehuwandu hwemasimba index, izvo zvinopesana nezvinyorwa uye zvekutsvaga zvakasiyana. Kusiyana naWilder, Cardwell akafunga kuti the bearish divergence kuva misika yemombe. Mune mamwe mazwi, zvinyananiso zvakasiyana zvinoumba zvekumusoro. Saizvozvowo, kutsinhanisa kwekutsvaga kunoonekwa sehwembwa misika yezvinhu uye kuratidza downtrend.

Kushandurwa kwakanaka kunoumbwa apo chiratidzo chinosvika pakadzika pasi, uye muyero unogadzira zvishoma. Iyo yakaderera yakaderera haisi pahuwandu hwehuwandu, asi pane imwe nzvimbo pakati pe30 ne50.

Kuchinja kusina kunaka kunopesana nezvakanaka. RSI inoumba yakakwirira kupfuura, asi muyero unogadzira huwandu hwepamusoro. Zvakare, iyo yakakwirira, sekutonga, iri pasi pemaodzanyemba kwehuwandu hwepamusoro pane imwe ye 50-70.

Trend Id

Chiratidzo chesimba chinowedzera kubva kubva kune makumi mana kusvika ku90 mumakona emombe (uptrend) ane mazinga e40-50 anoshumira sekutsigirwa. Aya mazera anogona kusiyana zvichienderana nemiganhu yeRSI, simba rekuita uye kusagadzikana kwezvinhu zviri pasi payo.

Kune rumwe rutivi, chiratidzo chinopfurikidza pakati pe10 ne60 nemusika webhebhu (a downtrend) ine mazinga e 50-60 sekumirisana.

Hazvibudiriri kufamba

Izvo zvakakundikana kupera, mubvunzo weunyori, chiratidzo chakasimba chekudzoka kunouya. Icho chiratidzo chekuti chidimbu cheRSI chinopa. Tsanangudzo yaro ndeyotevera. Kubudirira kusingabatsiri hazvibatsiri pachikoro. Mune mamwe mazwi, vanongotarisa chete mazita eRSI uye vasingateereri pfungwa yekusiyana. A swing kusingabudiririki kunowanika apo RSI inowira pasi pe30 (oversold), inokwira kumusoro kwe30, inodonha kusvika pamakumi matatu, uye inoputsa yakapfuura yakakwirira. Chinangwa chacho ndechokuwana zvikwereti zvakanyanya uye ipapo zvishoma kudarika mazinga anopfuura.

A klubbu isingabudiriri kushanduka inoumbwa apo nhamba yacho inofamba pamusoro pe70, madonhwe, zvigumburwa, haisviki makumi manomwe, uye inoputsa pasi yapfuura. Icho chinangwa chiyero chekuputika, uye ipapo-iyo yepamusoro yakadzika iri pasi pematunhu ekudarika.

Mutengo wacho unonyanya kukosha kudarika chiratidzo

Pasi rose torch oscillator RSI chiratidzo chinonyatsoongorora nguva. Pasinei nekusava kwemisika, RSI inoramba yakakosha nhasi sezvaive mumazuva eWilder. Asi nguva yakagadzirisa zvimwe. Kunyange zvazvo Wilder achifunga kuti akaparadzana semamiriro ezvinhu ekudzoka, zvakazoitika kuti inogona kuva chiratidzo chesimba. Bearish divergence ichiri kupa zviratidzo zvakanaka, asi vatengesi vanofanira kungwarira panguva yakasimba miitiro kana yakajairika. Pasinei nokuti pfungwa yezvakanaka uye dzakashata zvinokanganisa zvishoma nezvishoma kududzirwa kwaWilder, pfungwa dzayo dzinonzwisisika uye Wilder pachake haazobvumi kubhadhara zvakanyanya maitiro emutengo. Zvakanaka uye zvinokanganisa zvinoshandiswa zvinowanzoita mutengo wemugove purogiramu yekutanga, uye nhamba-yechipiri, sezvainofanira kuva. Bearish uye bullish divergences vanosarudza RSI chiratidzo. Nzira yekushandisa zvishandiso izvi kunobva kune mutengesi.

Izwi rinonzi RSI chiratidzo chepasi rose chekugonesa simba remaitiro, kutsvaga kutsvaga pfungwa kana kuputsa kuburikidza nekutsigirwa uye mitsara yekudzivirira. Uye kunyange zvazvo kukosha kwayo kunogona kufanotaurwa nyore nyore nekutarisa pamakenduru ekupedzisira gumi nemasere, RSI kuveza pamakirasi aya ichawedzera kugadzikana uye kuvimba mubhizimusi. Kuongororwa kwekuongorora kwemasimba emudzidzi, kushandurirwa kwaro mumatare akafananidza kuchabvumira kushandiswa kwekuita nekugadzirisa uye kusapindira nekufungisisa.