Kukura kweeuro (2014) muna Russia

Mumwedzi yokutanga mishomanana 2014 Ruble depreciated pamusoro guru nyika mari, kusanganisira euro. Ko chete European mari pachinhu Russia mune ramangwana? Tingatarisira kuti kweeuro acharamba kukura? Zvose zvinoenderana zvinhu zvakawanda, zveupfumi uye enyika hunhu.

Regulator uye koridho

Chii tinoona pamadziro kuratidzwa mukutsinhana pfungwa - mugumisiro mari zvokutengeserana, vakatsigira chikamu of Central Bank. The ukoshi akaratidza nhamba - ibatanidzo matambudziko vakawanda mari zvenhengo kusanganisira vaya vari kushandiswa ne yose ezvoupfumi masangano, kusanganisira Central Bank. Mumwe mukuru zviridzwa kuchinja Russian bhanga pamisika - zviri bvumidzwa zvokutengeserana bhendi. Kana Ruble yekudyidzana kurerutswa kana dzakanaka, Central Bank anotanga kutenga kana kutengesa mari kuchengeta runodiwa tsika. Kuitika mari kupindira kudzivisa simba zvakare depreciation yacho Ruble.

Pashure inzwi rayo kwazvo $ 350 miriyoni, mumwe mukoridho mukati memiganhu yawo haachatauri zvichikwira nokuda 5 masendi. Zviito zvakadaro of Central Bank - zvakafanana chinhu nokuda upfumi, asi mwedzi 2014 rokutanga, masangano aya vakawanda yaitsigira divi. Exchange rate bhendi akanga haachatauri, zvichikurukura vachiwana kwakaderera ari Ruble. Nhamba dziri ounyanzvi: tichienzanisa nemararamiro gore rapera mwero Russian "danda" pazvinhu zvikuru nyika mari, vakaurawa 10 muzana. Clear kushurudzira kuti Euro uye dhora kukura kunoonekwa.

Factor zvoupfumi kukura

Mumakore achangopfuura, nyika Ruble, sezvo mutemo uchifamba kumusoro, uye pasi pachikero mari inenge zvakananga kuwirirana pamwe mitengo mafuta. Zvisinei, iye zvino, zviri pakuti mwero mamwe macroeconomic zviratidzo. Kutanga, zviri sezvo vakadaro kukura. Kunyange zvazvo mutengo mudhiramu mafuta kugadzikana panguva $ 100 uye zvakawanda, GDP reRussia yakawedzera zvishoma nezvishoma. For 2014 - kuwedzera anenge 1,5 muzana, riri kudzika kudarika nyika avhareji.

Low prices vaizongoguma tinzwe pamusoro Ruble Gengi kuti kutungamirira mari. kukura kweeuro muna 2014 pamusoro Banknotes Russian, saka, vanogona kungova yakakwirira sezvinoita 10 muzana. Zvisinei, mashoko anobatsira kukosha Ruble kuzorwa kweeuro kuti vagari vanhuwo Russian, maererano nenyanzvi, yakaderera: mutengo hazvo vakawanda runoratidzwa yenyika mari. Kusiyana Somuenzaniso, kubva 90 wacho, kana mutengo Tags mune zvakawanda zvakachengetwa vaiva "Y. e. ". Pane mukana chete kuwedzera mutengo kupinza zvinhu munyika, asi kwete kupfuura 10 muzana chete.

Zviremera vanoramba vaine tariro

Hurumende anomirirwa Bazi rezveMari panguva imwe chete haatarisiri chero matambudziko kubva waivapo rutapudzo mutengo Ruble ari yokumwe Exchange pamusika muna 2014. Maererano Machinda dhipatimendi ichi, nokuti chakakomba Gengi nokufamba havana chaiwo zveupfumi chikonzero, uye ayo zvinogoneka tsika, imwe nzira kana imwe, vachasara mukati mukoridho wakasiyiwa Central Bank. Zvisinei, Bazi Finance kudzivisa kutaura tarisiro zvinopesana neizvi kuitika: hazvizoitiki euro uye dhora, uye nokusimbaradza yacho Ruble.

Dzimwe nyanzvi dzinofunga kuti mashoko Russian mari pamusika yawana nokugarika achangopfuura makore. Panyaya iyi, musimboti bhengi 2015 vakaronga kusiya richiona pamusoro Ruble uye ufambe kusvika mitengo kukanganiswa - the kwadzakabva basa kuti vakaronga upfumi kwokufananidzira kukura nevatengi mitengo. Kushanda ichi zvinoreva Kusaramba Uchifunga National mari mu "vakasununguka akayangarara", asi akapa yakanaka dzinoitwa makore achangopfuura vibrations ayo akasimba kuitika, maererano netarisiro yose mari, hazvifaniri.

Business chenjera

Kusiyana naA runowanikwa rehurumende nemapazi, private makambani, kunyanya mabhanga havadi kuva kudaro tariro. Maererano nedzimwe nyanzvi, kwete chokuita Bazi rezveMari of zvivako, ari kunetesa ari Ruble - chinhu systemic kutanga. Zvakatanga kwete chete kuti, asi mwedzi mishoma yapfuura. Oil mitengo Zvichakadaro hatina zvakananga zvainoita Ruble. Hazvina poruponeso akawira kudiwa ari National dzeEurope dzichiri kusimukira, uye nekusiyana, pane kuwedzera kukurumbira pakati dhora, euro.

MuRussia, nenzira, sectors dzakawanda upfumi anogona kunzi kuti nemamiriro nyika iri waivapo mhando. Muitiro uyu - pose uye akabatanidza kune yose dambudziko, pashure izvo zvichiitika upfumi havasi kukura chaizvo nokushingaira. Uyezve, zvinhu rakaoma nokuti makambani kamwe kumusika anotanga "atasve", ipapo kutengesa rubles panguva exchange. At mwero national mari kweRussia, saka, kunokanganisa mupfungwa chinhu. Vanoita rakagara richidudzirwa vaiona kusagadzikana Ruble, uye paakapiwa mariri - ngozi.

Asi zviri nani kuti kunze rubles

Pasinei akaipa nezvemaitiro Currency pamusika nyanzvi regai zano vokuRussia kuti nemari mu madhora uye euros. Chokwadi kuti mabhanga dzedu vachiri kupa yakakwirira mubereko prices pamusoro Ruble deposits - vanenge 10% pa annum. In rusarura dzimwe mari tsika dzakadaro refu havasisipo. Kana, somuenzaniso, kuti kurega Ruble kudzikisa ukoshi kunyange 10%, ipapo investor haangavi kurasikirwa chinhu. Pachinhu magetsi mitengo zviratidzi dhipoziti akadaro chero zvazvingava zvinobetsera pachake mari chekuchengeta.

A chikamu mumari mari yakafanana hazvo akarasika mukutaurirana. Zvisinei, izvi "masvomhu" hachisi chokwadi, kana munhu achienda kuenda kurarama kunze kana anopiwa mari, zvichienderana wokumwe Gengi. Akapiwa chokwadi chokuti kukura kuchava euro, 2014 fung gore sokuti zvikuru kukwezva kuti kuunganidza mari iri mari iyi kuti chinangwa Kutamira kune imwe nyika.

Nyaya - neshoko vokuEurope

Kana Gengi kunobva National kudzora mutemo - Central Bank of Russia, kuwedzera kweeuro, akavapindurawo, dzinongoita pakutsvaga European Central Bank basa. Zvino tsika zvemari anoda nekaupenyu nyoro kusvika kune mutemo mumusika uye kwete pedyo kujairika nzira nezvainoita kweeuro. Gwaro Izvi zvinobatsira vamwe kuvandudzika eurozone upfumi mukutanga 2014. Kana muitiro uyu mberi, mwero chete mari pamusoro dzimwe Banknotes nyika rurefu mukana kuchawedzera.

Nezveshoko hama nzvimbo kweeuro uye Ruble, pachava kutamba basa chinokonzera of US dhora. Weboka Russian mari inoenderana vamwe vaviri, pari imwe yose chinokosha. Kunenge kuti kweeuro pamusoro dhora muna 2014. tsaukai zvikuru kukosha 1,4 pfungwa (the vibrations akasimba haazobvumiri yokudzora Central Bank). Naizvozvo, kana US mari kuchasvika Somuenzaniso, 36 rubles, mutengo European asingadi pfuura 50.

Zvaifungidzirwa

Dzimwe nyanzvi vanotarisira Ruble kusimbisa rwezvemabhengi pamusika pakazopera 2014, uye nekuti vagari nani kwete kuti zvematongerwo dzokufungidzira achitenga madhora uye euros. Chikonzero ichi pachena netariro - muna Central Bank wokuti. The akaipa kuitika anenge vaunganidza 2013, saka unofanira kuchinja gwara iri mid-2014. Pakati ramangwana nhamba - 33 rubles por dhora, 43,5 - muzana Euro. Izvi zvakare nokuda macroeconomic zvinhu: mune dzakabudirira of EU iri kutarisirwa kuwedzera padanho kudiwa zvinhu kugadzirwa Russia, uyewo kuwedzera kudiwa mafuta. Zvisinei, mubvunzo wokuti pachava raidudzwa kuwedzera euro, Zvaifungidzirwa muna 2014 vasina kukanganiswa.

Panewo shanduro iri mudare hupfumi mamiriro hapana chikonzero deredza zviri Ruble (sezvo zvakaitika Somuenzaniso, muna 2008). Zvino paiva rinokosha kuderera GDP, kushayikwa kwemabasa akasimuka nehasha, uye nekuti kuderedza akanga rinoponesa uswa sectors zvizhinji Russian upfumi (kunyanya ekisipoti vaifarira). Uyezve, nyanzvi dzinofunga panguva iyoyo Central Bank akapedza ari kuderedza inenge $ 200 billion, uye nhasi zvingava nani kutumira mari iripo zvimwe zvinangwa.

geopolitics

Zvinozivikanwa kuti "mari anoda runyararo". Saka, chero nezvemaitiro yose upfumi vari akasungirirwa kuitika munzvimbo yezvematongetwo. Nhasi, dingindira munyika - ndiwo mamiriro ezvinhu akapoteredza Ukraine. Kana makakatanwa ari ukama pakati Russia, Europe uye United States kuwa, national dzeEurope nokumirira kuti rollback kuti zvinokosheswa January naFebruary. Zvisinei, kunyange muchiitiko ichi, usatarisira simba kuonga Ruble pamusoro dzimwe mari, sezvo, kunze chinhu mugwaro anoramba rebei kukanganisa zvoupfumi kuitikawo anogona kusimbisa dhora uye euro. 2014 gore anogona zvikuru kuona chikuru vectors ose geopolitics munguva yemberi iri pedyo.

Chinhu chikuru kuti kumusika raiita

Chinonyanya kurwadza mamiriro ezvinhu chero wokumwe rate musika - iri mira. Movement pamisika, ingava euro kana depreciation pamusoro Ruble, ipai anonongedzera kune makambani kuita chinhu, kuti kutora sarudzo. Zvisinei, sezvo nyanzvi dzinoti, kuvaka refu Zvaifungidzirwa pamusoro Exchange - isingaongi basa. Kunenge chaizvo kwete zvokufungidzira mirayiridzo, zvizhinji zvinoenderana zvinhu izvo chiito kutarisira zvakaoma chaizvo. Zvakakosha kuti musika vechikamu uye veruzhinji kuwana mashoko echokwadi pamusoro pezvakaitwa kuitika upfumi.