Dhora uye euro zviri kuratidza kukura kwakasimba. Sei euro uye dollar zvichikura muna 2014?

IRussia ruble iri kurasikirwa pasi, uye mari yeEurope neAmerica inoramba ichikura. Vamwe vatsvakurudzi vezvemari vakaramba vachinyevera nezvekuwa kweRuble munaMarch 2014 - mushure memazuva eOlympics muSochi. Dzimwe nyanzvi dzakaratidza kuti yemitambo yeOlympic ichawedzera nekusimbisa ruble rechiRussia.

Kusvika parizvino, hapana chekufananidzira chave chasimbiswa. Asi mari yekunze inoramba ichikwira mumutengo. Nokudaro, mubvunzo wekuti sei euro uye idhora iri kukura gore rino iri kuwedzera kukurumidza.

Key Factors

Mari yeAmerica irikukura nokukurumidza, isingadi kukwikwidza shure kwechikwata chake chikuru-euro. Uku kukura kunokonzerwa nezvinhu zviviri:

• Mutengo wamafuta wakaenda kumuganhu wakakwana ("flat");
• Mari imwe yeEurope yakatora nzvimbo yekuwa kusingagumi.

Oiri yakagara ichiita basa rinokosha pakushandura kuchinja kwenhamba. Gore rino, Iran yakataura kuti inogona kudzivirira Dunhu reHormuz. Izvi zvakakonzera kuwedzera kwakanyanya kwezvinyorwa. Uye kunyange mushure memazuva mashomanana "America" yakawira zvakanyanya, nezuva rechitatu mari yacho yakakurumidza kumhanyira.

Kuwa kusingagumi kwemari yeEurope kunobatsira kuwedzera dhora. Kuti uwane zvikonzero zvekukura kwe euro uye nedhora, iwe unofanirwa kubhadhara zviito zveGermany. Vatori vezvematongerwe enyika veGermany vanoedza kutaurirana nehuwandu hwehupfumi muhupfumi, hupfumi, uye zvehupfumi kubva kune dzimwe nyika dzakapoteredza. Izvi zvinotungamirira mukusava nechokwadi kwemari - eurozone inogara iri pamucheto wekutadza, iyo inyanzvi yakaenzana.

Mukuwedzera, gore rino reRussia rawedzera miganhu yenyika yekorodhi, nekuda kwei vatengesi vakatanga kutora mutauro weRussia rubles mumadhora nema euro.

Kurwisana kweCrimea

IRussia ruble iri kusiya zvigaro zvayo nekuda kwemakakatanwa muCrimea uye kuwedzera kwemaitiro epasiopolitical pane iyi. Imitemo yeRussia inotsanangura kuti sei euro uye dollar iri kukura neRussia ruble.

Musi waMarch 1, 2014, Federation Federation yakabvumira kuendeswa kwemauto eRussia kuUkraine. Misika yemabhizimisi yakabvuma kune izvi nekudonha kwakaputika muRuble kunopesana nemari yeEurope neAmerica.

Kwete kare kare muRussia, iyo CBA yakawedzera. Mutevedzeri wehurumende ye Economic Economic of the Russian Federation anovimbisa kuti zviito zvakadaro zvinoitwa nehurumende kuitira kuti ive nekukurumidza kuderera kweRussia ruble. Zvisinei, sezvo kuwedzera kwakadaro kuchaita kuti hupfumi hwenyika huvepo, asi pasina munhu anotsanangura.

Chii chinovhiringidza kukura kwedhora uye euro?

Kunzwisisa kuti nei euro uye dhora iri kukura munaJanuary 2014 Gore, gore rezvematongerwe enyika uye zvezvemari munyika yose nekuda kwekufanirwa kuongororwa.

1. Gore rapera, veUnited States vakawana kukura kwehupfumi.
2. Obama akabvumirana kuti arege kutumira mauto munharaunda yeSiriya.
3. Mari inotengeswa neRussia mumitambo yeOlympic yegore ra2014 muSochi haina kuzviruramisa ivo pachavo.
4. Mukupera kwegore ra2013, Central Bank yakatanga kutora mabhizimisi akawanda kubva kumabhandi makuru eRussia. Izvi zvakaita kuti kuvharwa kwemawanda akawanda muRussia rubles.
5. ICBR yakataura kuti haingatsigiri ruble kushandiswa kwenhamba muna 2014.

Kana iwe ukaongorora zvinhu izvi muchikamu, iwe unogona kunzwisisa kuti nei euro uye dhora iri kukura, uye ruRussia ruble iri kuwira.

Matanho emari

Vatsoropodzi vanoita zvirevo zvinopesana pamusoro pechigaro cheRussia ruble gore rino. Vazhinji vavo vanobvumirana kuti chiyero chavo chichabva pamatengo emafuta uye gasi. Iye zvino mari inoshandiswa mafuta inosvika pakukwirira kwayo, asi pakupera kwegore inofanira kuwira. Izvi zvichinyanya kuchinja muyero weodhora, euro neRussia ruble.

Asi NATO neEurope zvichiri kutyisidzira Russia nemitemo yezvemari. Zviito zvakadaro zvinotsanangura kuti nei euro uye dhora iri kukura. 2014 haisi nyore kuRussia, zvose zvezvematongerwe enyika uye zvematongerwe enyika. Nyika iri kuwedzera kutyisidzirwa nechokubuda kubva kuG-8. Uye kana izvi zvikaitika, zvichange zvakaoma kuti ruble yeRussia ibate nzvimbo dzayo maererano neyeEurope neAmerica mari.

Ndiani ane simba: dhora kana euro?

Vanyori veAmerica uye nyanzvi vanofananidza mazano anofadza pamusoro pemari yavo, asi havana chokwadi nezve euro. Zvisinei, mari mbiri dzinotungamirira dziri kuitika mumatambudziko.

Mubvunzo wekuti sei euro uye dhora iri kukura hazvina kukodzera kuAmerica neEurope. Pano pane kuderera kwehuwandu hwemari yakaoma (kusununguka mari yakashandurwa).

MuUnited States, zvakawanda zvinogona kunzwika pamusoro penyika inosangana nenhamo, kunyange zvazvo mutungamiri akaparadzira chirongwa chitsva chokurwisana nemabasa. Obama anotenda kuti izvi zvichabatsira kuchinja hutungamiri hwehupfumi hunobva pakufa.

Eurocurrency inokweverwa pasi neGreece nePortugal, matambudziko emari muSpain nedzimwe nyika dzeEurozone.

Alan Greenspan - uyo aimbova mutungamiriri we Federal Reserve System yeU.SA - anotenda kuti euro haina ramangwana. Mutori wenyika anotenda kuti euro inenge isingakwanisi kurwisa mhirizhonga yemari uye ichakurumidza kuparara. Asi mhedzisiro yakadaro yezviitiko inozokanganisa hupfumi hweUnited States, nokuti makambani makuru eUnited States anowirirana zvakanyanya kumusika weEurope.

Mukuwedzera, kune kuwedzerwa kwemitengo yegoridhe munyika, iyo inotungamirira kumatambudziko mune dollar / euro pair.