Time dzakatevedzana kukosha Statistical zvechadenga muitiro kana chinoshamisa

Chero munda sayenzi uye ruzivo nzvimbo pane mananara vane kudzidza zvinofanira kuitwa, kufungisisa kuchinja zvose kwenguva chaiyo nguva. Kana hwezuva nezuva hwevanhu kwezvakatipoteredza, zvino pano zviri mubereko Somuenzaniso, kuchinja mitengo imwe chigadzirwa mumakore gore inoratidza kuti nguva kuongorora muna pamakiriniki, etc.

In nhamba, kuti raora yokuvamba imwe chinhu kuchinja pamusoro nguva haisi nguva akatevedzana. Chero pamwero maitiro ari kupiwa nguva kunokanganisa zvinhu zvinoverengeka, rimwe nerimwe zvinogona kunzi kana anongoitika pfungwa kana systemically bata zvose pfupi rokuti muitiro, uye cyclical nokufamba.

Ongorora siyana mubatanidzwa izvi, tinogona kugumisa kuti nguva series, zvichienderana mumwe kana imwe nzvimbo, anogona kutora rimwe zvinotevera mhando. Chokutanga, zvakawanda upfumi kuita zvose macro- uye Micro-pamwero ari kugara nokuchinja guru, sezvo vari kukanganiswa zvikuru zvinoverengeka. Panguva iyoyowo, pasinei nokuti izvi zvinhu kazhinji kunangidzirwa kwakasiyana-siyana, pamwe chete zvinoumba unidirectional kuitika, kuratidza mberi kana kubva atanga kukura nechiidzo.

Chechipiri, kukurukura nguva akatevedzana chimwe chakarurama, unogona kuona zvakajeka kuti pasi munhu anozivikanwa cyclical nokufamba. Izvi zvingava zvakafanira kuti kuchinja mwaka, yose kuitika kana nguva kuurayiwa kutenderera vamwe mabasa.

Kuti uzive chii chaicho unhu ane nguva dzakatevedzana pane imwe nguva, zvakakodzera kuisa pasi mumwe Vector kana agokupaiwo kweimwewo kuitika uye cyclical zvinoriumba. The zvichiguma Kuwedzera Zvichaguma imwe chirungiso nguva dzino womuenzaniso, uye kana tikashandisa chokuwanziridza, mugumisiro multiplicative womuenzaniso zvichakurukurwa.

Chinangwa chikuru chemusha chero Statistical kudzidza kuti uwandu hwazvo zvitatu zvikuru zvinoriumba kunoita nguva akatevedzana. Izvi zvinokosha kuti afanotaura tsika akatevedzana kuti tinogona kutarisira mune ramangwana.

Muzviitiko zvakawanda, vaongorori vanofanira mharidzo imwe nhamba zvaanorumbidza munenge zvakaenzana zvikamu, ndiko kuva mira nguva akatevedzana. It inotengwa muzviitiko apo simba nguva idzi muitiro yabviswa, kureva zvinhu izvo kudzora paumbwe pfupi-rokuti kuitika.

Saka, nguva dzino - kutaridza quantitative tsika nechiidzo vatora imwe chaiyo nguva nguva. Paumbwe imwe chechetere zvinokonzerwa zvinhu zvizhinji, vakatakura vose pfupi uye refu hunhu.