Representativeness dzokuenzanisira

Vyborka- yakatarwa iyi nemashoko kubatwa zvakakodzera nzira vokuparidzira yokutsvakurudza kuongorora. Representativeness - ichi pfuma playback mharidzo yacho yose nhengo dzayo. Pane imwe, ndiwo mukana aparadzirwe pfungwa yose, kuti chikamu ichi zvinosanganisira.

Representativeness dzokuenzanisira - nechiyero randinogara mune chokwadi kuti mharidzo vanofanira kuratidza raora zviratidzo zvachose uye yakavimbika, izvo zviri chikamu. Rinogonawo sokuva pfuma dzokuenzanisira zvizere dzinomirira zvinoitwa chavagari, zvinokosha kubva nemaonero pamusoro pakutsvakurudza zvinangwa.

Kufunga kuti mukuru vokuparidzira - zvose vadzidzi chechikoro (vanhu 900 kubva makirasi 30, vadzidzi 30 vekirasi neimwe). The chinhu kudzidza - nhamba vadzidzi kusvuta. Mharidzo yakatarwa iine vadzidzi 90 chete chesekondari, ndoda chipo imwe raora kupfuura muenzaniso vadzidzi 90 chete, izvo zvingasanganisira kubva neimwe kirasi 3 mudzidzi. Chikonzero chikuru - the dzisakarurama kuparadzirwa kare. Saka, mumutsetse wokutanga pakati representativeness dzokuenzanisira achava pasi. Kana yechipiri - kumusoro.

In evanhu, akati kuti pane representativeness dzokuenzanisira yayo representativeness.

Somuenzaniso, imwe kurerukirwa mharidzo kunogona kuguma chaiwo mhosva, kwakaitika muna 1936 muUnited States mumakore sarudzo dzemutungamiriri wenyika.

Magazine "Literari Digest", izvo kune ichi chaizvo zvinobudirira akafanotaura migumisiro yapfuura nesarudzo, nguva ino akakanganisa mu fungidziro dzavo, kunyange zvazvo akatuma mibvunzo yakanyorwa mamiriyoni akawanda subscribers, uyewo vacho vakasarudzwa kubva mubhuku dzenhare uye kubva motokari kunyoresa mazita. In nokuvhota chechina, izvo vakadzoka shure yazara, kuvhota akanga sezvinotevera: 57% kuti atungamirirwe Republican kukwikwidza Alf Landon akadana, uye 41% akaratidza zvinodiwa kuti incumbent mutungamiri - Democrat Franklin Roosevelt.

Kutaura zvazviri, pasarudzo vakakunda Roosevelt, uyo scored vanenge 60% of vhoti. Error "Literari Digest" akanga inotevera. Vaida kuwedzera representativeness dzokuenzanisira. Uye sezvo vaiziva kuti ruzhinji subscribers dzavo vazivikanwe sevanhu Republicans, vakasarudza kuti akudziridze mharidzo nokuda yevakapindura, avo kusarudza mabhuku dzenhare uye motokari kunyoresa mazita. Asi havaiti kufunga raivapo chaizvoizvo uye chaizvoizvo akabvisa zvakatowanda vatsigiri Republicans, nekuti panguva Kuderera Kukuru vane motokari uye nhare nezvaaigona kuita pakati uye yokumusoro kirasi. Uye izvi dzaiwanzova Republicans, kwete Democrats.

Kune mhando akasiyana zvakabudiswa: nyore asingashumbi, serial, kwese, zvemaziso uye vasanganiswa.

Simple kurongwa zvakabudiswa ndiko kusarudza kubva yose yakatarwa vezvikwata pasi pakudzidza pavaidira pasina hurongwa.

Zvokuimba zvakabudiswa rinoshandiswa kana vanhu mune akarayira Somuenzaniso, pane imwe kutevedzana vezvikwata (vanyorwa nhamba revashandi, vanhu nesarudzo mazita, nenhamba vakabvunzurudzwa dzenhare nhamba Apartments uye dzimba, etc.).

A chaiwo vakasarudzwa rinoshandiswa kana rose yakatarwa inogona rakakamurwa mapoka nokuda mhando. Kana kushandisa vemo akadaro angava Somuenzaniso, dzidzo, zera, magariro mapoka, kudzidza emakambani - davi kana yoga sangano uye nevamwe.

Serial vakasarudzwa inobatsira kana zviumbu ikashandiswa mune dzino duku kana boka. Nyaya idzi dzinogona kunge batch mangé apedza zvigadzirwa, makirasi chikoro, mapoka basa uye mamwe mapoka.

Combined yokuenzanisira kunosanganisira kushandiswa mhando dzose aaimboita ivhu iri kunosiyana siyana.