Arab Spring: Zvinokonzera uye Consequences

Pfungwa "Arab Spring" akazviratidza nekaupenyu yapfuura. By aya kunzwisisa raora pamusoro kukuru enyika kuchinja chimiro kuti zvakaitika kunyika dzakawanda North Africa (Maghreb) uye kuMiddle East muchirimo 2011. Zvisinei, nguva yakakodzera yokuita zvinhu zviri zvikuru vakwanise dzose. Mune dzimwe Arab nyika, zviito izvi chokuita January gore rino, uye muna Tunisia vakadzoka muna December 2010.

Nokuda chii akatanga Arab Spring? Zvikonzero izvozvo nhema chete iri munyika zvinetso munyika idzi. Kutaura zvazviri, chiri chokuita kuti zviitiko dzakawanda kuti paita munzvimbo ine nouchapupu mafuta uye gasi reserves. Mahydrocarbon izvi zviri dzisiri renewable pfuma, kudyiwa iyo iri kuramba kukura. Hondo yavo kuMiddle East uye Maghreb rava chikamu chinokosha hondo nguva yedu.

Kune mapoka maviri kudzora geopolitical nzvimbo uye pfuma: pemapuranga uye pfungwa. Wokutanga rinobvumira kuti pakudzorwa yose Vhoriyamu nzvimbo, wechipiri - yaro pfungwa huru. Nepariri, kuti control panel mhando rinoitwa chete nesimba kubatwa - hondo. Asi nhasi pabani chimiro kukunda pasi inotevera pfungwa dzevanhu nezvisingabvumwi. Naizvozvo, nzira nhatu kushanda kumativi izvi yakawanikwa.

Pakadaro, yainzi "Spring Arab", kuti kuongorora chinoita kuti tigumise kuti kushandiswa zvose zvitatu nzira. Ava (1) kushandisa kubatsira atadza limitrophe States (2) 'ruyamuro kupindira "pasi chokumupomera kodzero dzevanhu, (3) preemptivnaya hondo kushandisa mabikirwo" ruvara nokumukirana ". Preemptsiya - simba chiito pamusoro mberi, musimboti randinogara kushandisa coercive matanho kuitira kudzivisa zvinogona remagandanga kutyisidzira.

Chiito ichi katatu zvinogona chete kunzi hondo, pane vamwe zvikuru kwazvakarerekera izwi. tsime Arab akava nzira zvekuvaka kubatwa zvizere kudzvinyirira kurwisa kuti muridzi wavo uye kubatsira kwokushandisa akabatwa nechisimba.

Zvinofanira kunzwisiswa kuti hapana munzanga kushanduka munyika hazvibviri pasina chinangwa ezvinhu. Kazhinji vanova uori hurumende, urombo, vakawanda, uye vamwe nokusaruramisira munzanga.

The Arab Spring akanga ichazivikanwa noku "zvisumbu" kuti "kumukira" pamusoro cheni, zvichireva basa rinokosha iri kwokunze kuchinja zvematongerwo pezvakaitwa munyika idzi, inobva huripo evanhu Kusagutsikana vanhu. Somugumisiro "Arab nokumukirana" nesimba vaiva nemwero Islamists. Uye ichi ndicho chinhu chinokosha nharo nokuda kwechigarire kuvapo vemauto ehondo, "yakatanga democracies" munyika idzi uye nedunhu rose.

Saka, muArabhia Spring - haisi chimurenga, zviri pachigaro nechisimba. Political vaongorori vanodavira kuti zviitiko izvi ndizvo "kuwedzera" kubhururuka muna China, India uye Japan, vane reserves mafuta. The nyika yokutanga iyo zviitiko, "Spring", akava Tunisia. Zvadaro "kuwedzera" nendege kuIjipiti, Libya, Siriya, kuCaucasus rinoti, nechepakati Asia, Russia.

The Arab Spring wava chinokosha rwokugadzira US tichirwisa kunyika iri "bhiriyoni yendarama" pamusoro Japan, China, India, uye EU sezvo huru nzvimbo simba munyika yanhasi.